Visual Brief · 2026
Simple Visuals
Four facts on one page: the risk, the funding gap, the treaties that worked, and what a binding AI treaty must contain.
01 · The Risk
10-20%
Chance AI causes human extinction this century
The estimated probability, from a researcher who built the field.
Geoffrey Hinton, Turing Award winner · New York Times, 2023
02 · The Governance Gap
527×
More industry money than governance
No binding global rules exist. The spend is on building, not on a limit.
AI capex vs. EU AI Act enforcement · Chatham House, 2026
03 · The Precedent
Treaties that already worked
1968
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
1987
Montreal Protocol on Ozone
1993
Chemical Weapons Convention
These treaties worked. An AI treaty can too.
UN · UNEP · OPCW
04 · The Treaty
A treaty needs
01Monitor
02Threshold
03Verify
04Respond
05Govern
One chance to get it right.
nakadafoundation.org/our-plan